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Asteroid 2015HM10

Started by Stellar, June 04, 2015, 11:14:31 PM

albrecht

Quote from: Georgie For President 2216 on July 07, 2015, 03:31:05 PM
This article may be of interest:

http://www.wired.com/2015/07/asteroid-2015-hm10-will-not-destroy-earth/

Quote
AUTHOR: SOPHIA CHEN,  SCIENCE  DATE OF PUBLICATION: 07.07.15.
TIME OF PUBLICATION: 12:30 PM.

Chill. Asteroid 2015 HM10 Isn’t Going to Destroy Earth

TODAY, ASTEROID 2015 HM10 will not destroy Earth. It will not arc like a fiery rainbow through the atmosphere and drop an inferno the size of Manhattan onto, let’s say, Paris or the Golden Gate Bridge. Billions of people will not die horribly, or indeed at all. No 1990s action heroism will be required.

So if indeed the prosaically-named 2015 HM10 is only coming within 270,000 miles of our planetâ€"further away than the moonâ€"why are so many people freaking right the hell out about it? Why is NASA’s Asteroid Watch Twitter feed spending valuable at-replies on assuaging hoax asteroid impact fears? Well…asteroid impacts have been extinction-level events on Earth before. They might be again.

But let’s be clear: Not today.

“2015 HM10 is a fairly ordinary near-Earth object, making a fairly ordinary close approach,” writes Eric Christensen, an astronomer who leads the Catalina Sky Survey, a project to discover rocks like this one, floating near Earth, in an e-mail.

Listen, you can’t even see this asteroid in the night sky with the naked eye. Discovered in April using a four-meter telescope in Chile, it’s only about 200 feet across. It’s just one of about 100,000 similar objects that orbit the sun at about the same distance, originating in the asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter and pulled into closer orbits by the gravity of nearby planets. Near-Earth Objects this size get this close about once a year. Even most asteroids that do make it to Earth are nothing Earth-shattering (get it?). A car-sized asteroid burns up in our atmosphere probably once a month, which usually results in a nice light show and “perhaps a few small meteorites if we’re lucky,” writes Christensen.

That hasn’t stopped places like Reddit and the International Business Times from suggesting that 2015 HM10 qualifies as a “near miss” that’s going to “zip past” the only planet with human beings on it in the universe. It depends on your definition of “near” and “zip,” perhaps.

Timing might also be at fault. If you believe the people making a documentary film about how dangerous asteroids can be, last Tuesday was Asteroid Day, part of a “global awareness movement to protect Earth from asteroid impacts.” So the Internet was aflutter with asteroid-related news, including a webcast put on by NASA. Astronomers there repeatedly emphasized that the media frequently, um, misinterprets the danger of asteroid approaches. While finding and studying asteroids is an important task, nothing dramatic is imminent.

The last time an asteroid did any damage was 2013, when a 50-foot wide rock broke up over Chelyabinsk, in Russia. Almost 2,000 people were injured, mostly by glass from windows broken by fragments ejected by the explosion. No one died. “The effects from small impacts like Chelyabinsk are extremely localized, and so there is little threat to human populations from small impacts,” says Christensen. Plus, an impact as large as Chelyabinsk only happens every few decades. Impacts from large asteroids, longer than 450 feet in diameter, are even less likelyâ€"they only happen every 10,000 years or so.

Scientists do track the largest possible culprits. NASA-funded projects like the Christensen’s Catalina Sky Survey and Pan-STARRS are working to catalog 90 percent of near-Earth objects. Christensen says that they already know about 95 percent of the big onesâ€"the objects that are larger than 3,000 feet across. None of them have any chance of hitting the planet for at least a century. Does that mean scientists shouldn’t try to track more of them, or all of them? Of course not. Organizations and companies working with NASA are even developing a spacecraft to deflect the trajectory of an incoming asteroid if necessary.

The bottom line? For our solar system, today’s asteroid’s approach is business as usual, and it is really, really, reallyâ€"reallyâ€"unlikely that an asteroid will take a big chunk out of Earth anytime soon. “People tend to focus on the spectacular effects of potential impacts without realizing that large impacts are extremely low-probability events,” Christensen writes. “I don’t spend time worrying about damaging asteroid impacts, just like I don’t waste time planning how to spend my hypothetical lottery winnings.” Be not afraid, humans.


But what does Ms.Chen have to say about Jade Helm? And, I guess, considering the size of the universe this distance could be considered pretty damn close, to use a scientific term.  ;)

Grov505th

I SURVIVED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Whats next up on Stellars whacky End of the world as we know list......

Yorkshire pud

Quote from: Grov505th on July 07, 2015, 09:20:22 PM
I SURVIVED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Whats next up on Stellars whacky End of the world as we know list......

He'll be along soon to ignore he posted this thread.

Stellar

Quote from: Yorkshire pud on July 07, 2015, 10:19:22 PM
He'll be along soon to ignore he posted this thread.


Lucky that the international space station use mirrors to deflect the asteroids for a week straight





http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DeLi0ty4SO4



Grov505th

Quote from: Stellar on July 08, 2015, 01:04:48 AM

Lucky that the international space station use mirrors to deflect the asteroids for a week straight





http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DeLi0ty4SO4




You my sir are a DIP SHIT

Yorkshire pud

Quote from: Grov505th on July 08, 2015, 01:10:32 AM
You my sir are a DIP SHIT

Hey he believes what he thinks.


Yorkshire pud

What I find disturbing is that Stellar is allowed to breed. On purpose.

Quote from: Stellar on July 08, 2015, 01:04:48 AM

Lucky that the international space station use mirrors to deflect the asteroids for a week straight


How many weeks have you been waiting to post that?

Yorkshire pud

Quote from: Georgie For President 2216 on July 08, 2015, 02:51:31 AM
How many weeks have you been waiting to post that?

And they used mirrors.. a light reflecting means used to deflect solid bodies. Go NASA!!!

Grov505th

Its funny...does he think all the Solar Panels are omni-directional space mirrors?  And how does it work.....does it turn them in to some type of Super Space Lazer?

Yorkshire pud

Quote from: Grov505th on July 08, 2015, 03:03:13 AM
Its funny...does he think all the Solar Panels are omni-directional space mirrors?  And how does it work.....does it turn them in to some type of Super Space Lazer?

Almost certainly. Some hi tech laser blaster anti asteroid/ genital wart defence thingy stuff.

Grov505th

Well at least he's not saying it was HAARP.....or Angels

Yorkshire pud

Quote from: Grov505th on July 08, 2015, 03:19:10 AM
Well at least he's not saying it was HAARP.....or Angels

Yet

onan

I am just thankful that the angels were there to rapture me up from the devastation.

Quote from: onan on July 08, 2015, 06:14:17 AM
I am just thankful that the angels were there to rapture me up from the devastation.

You're lucky.  I think I ended up in hell. 

Hmm?   There was no asteroid and I haven't gone anywhere?

Yorkshire pud

Quote from: Georgie For President 2216 on July 08, 2015, 11:22:09 AM
You're lucky.  I think I ended up in hell. 

Hmm?   There was no asteroid and I haven't gone anywhere?

Erm........



No. :-\

Jackstar

Then again... metaphorically, he was dead-fucking-on.

onan

Quote from: Jackstar on July 10, 2015, 02:53:37 AM
Then again... metaphorically, he was dead-fucking-on.

Perhaps, meteorphorically.

Yorkshire pud

Quote from: onan on July 10, 2015, 05:17:27 AM
Perhaps, meteorphorically.

I saw what you did there.

albrecht

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EXPXGTeBCKY
The mirrors again. NASA is so clever. Now can the mirrors save me from Jade Helm? ;)

Yorkshire pud

Quote from: albrecht on July 10, 2015, 10:25:56 AM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EXPXGTeBCKY
The mirrors again. NASA is so clever. Now can the mirrors save me from Jade Helm? ;)

They just do. Okay.

Stellar, don't look now but I think they're swarming...


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