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Topics - Avi

#1
Archive of Old Threads / Skepticism and Its Discontents
February 03, 2012, 02:59:40 AM
There is a certain attitude among the cognoscenti that rather irks me. You see, I am highly skeptical of extraordinary claims, and I do most certainly believe that they require extraordinary proof. If you tell me that you can read minds, predict the future, start fires through intention, etc., I (and James Randi, who will pay you much more than I can scrape together) would like a controlled demonstration. Nonetheless, I do see the failings of rationalism and scientism, and skeptics can be brazenly dismissive of those whose experiences do not follow the supposedly logical line, whatever that may be.

The functioning of the human mind is incredibly manipulable and biased (see Kahneman and Tversky, winners of the Nobel Prize, on this point), and this includes the minds of rationalists, logicians and scientists. The scientific method was devised to help eliminate bias (although it functions rather poorly in this regard, way back to the fudged data of Gregor Mendel and his pea plants). Yet even with this tool, i.e., the scientific method, bias and error are routine. Supposedly, peer review will triumph over poorly conducted research, but this is a rarity. Most scientific disciplines tend to operate under a rather hidebound consensus that is very reluctant to admit new data. One must be as skeptical of grandiose claims made for science, logic and rationality, as one is of the efficacy of prayer. Too, humans do not do well in thinking of future consequences - most are focused on immediate reward, and this bias poisons the fruits of scientific inquiry.

Of course, religious believers are the most common target of the rational cadre, whose membership cards boast vaguely anarchic slogans like, "No gods, no masters." Never mind that Margaret Mead produced this saying on one of her contraception pamphlets: that her supposed anthropological work in Samoa was a steaming, ideologically-driven pile is notwithstanding. Now, I could discuss the horrors of ideology, especially when connected to the ideas of purity and transcendence (the thousand-year Reich, the various workers' paradises, Jim Jones) until the cows come home. Unfortunately, rationalists do not view themselves as being susceptible to these ideas or to their psychological underpinnings. It might detract from their view of themselves as superior, logical beings (which, in fact, the human state does not permit). Naturally, religious people are dismissed as stupid, and as intellectual failures. I have been asked many times, "How can you say you're a skeptic if you believe in G-d?" I had to return my rationalist membership card, even though its slogan was "Party Hearty!" Nonetheless, I see many skeptics and rationalists as invested in the ideas of science and rationality, with little actual understanding of either. They have faith in science and rationality to provide needed answers. I wish they were right.

Now, do I believe that the C2C Friday night prayer group has demonstrable effects? No, I do not. But neither do I believe that praying for the ill is wrong. If I were terribly ill, I would not object if people I knew prayed for me. I'd like it even better if they visited me. I would feel supported and cared for, much more than from an anonymous prayer vigil by anonymous audience members on some random radio show. Is that irrational? As Ivan Karamazov exclaims, "If G-d does not exist, then everything is permitted." Is permitting everything in the name of Rationalism or Science rational, then? Mind you, it wasn't the Vatican or the Elders of Zion behind the horrific eugenics debacles of the 20th century. Scientists believed sincerely that Native Americans and Blacks should be sterilized in large numbers to preserve the dubious claims of 'racial hygiene.' I cite this only because Rationalists, while pointing out the horror, which nobody denies, of religious fanatics can't seem to come to grips with Stalin or Mao, who were by no means niggardly in their killing or in their pursuit and killing of religious believers. I don't think this debate has much merit. Tit for tat does not bring us to an understanding of the real causes of humanity's inhumanity to humanity - uh, rationally, I mean.
#2
Archive of Old Threads / The Joke Thread
January 19, 2012, 07:31:18 PM
SINGLE BLACK FEMALE seeks male companionship, ethnicity unimportant. I'm a very good girl who LOVES to play. I love long walks in the woods, riding in your pickup truck, hunting, camping and fishing trips, cozy winter nights lying by the fire. Candlelight dinners will have me eating out of your hand. I'll be at the front door when you get home from work, wearing only what nature gave me... Call (404) 875-6420 and ask for Annie, I'll be waiting.....

The above ad ran in the Atlanta Journal. Over 150 men found themselves talking to the Atlanta Humane Society. Yes, Annie is a black lab.
#3
Do we owe honesty to others when we’re online? What if, for example, I always wanted to be a champion figure skater? May I misrepresent myself to others as such â€" after all, they’ll never know, unless I make some gaffe related to standard figure-skating knowledge? If I do make such a gaffe, are others obligated to keep quiet about it? Should we say, “Well, it’s the internet. Who cares if people lie? Really, what did we expect?” Or, should we say, "Hey! There are places like Second Life, if you need to live out your figure-skating fantasy. We expect you to post honestly."

Billy Joel - Honesty

There was a person who wrote a blog on her attempts to deal with some kind of cancer. She even shaved her head to get the appropriate look, and posted pictures of herself in a babushka. The things she wrote about were very moving, and many people suffering from cancer flocked to her site for mutual support. This blogger wrote about her experiences, said her readers, in a tremendously helpful way. Her readers begged her to set up a Paypal link so they could donate money for her chemo (I think she nobly refused). An old high school acquaintance ran into this blogger in a coffee shop, and later, coincidentally ran across her blog. After some investigation, she outed the blogger for complete fakery, saying that she was a liar in high school as well. The outrage was palpable. Initially, many of her readers stuck by her, refusing to believe that she had lied, until the blogger issued an apology, stating that she never had friends in her life until she, in essence, lied to get them. She admitted that the strategy had some drawbacks, but she felt that (paraphrasing) "for a person like me, it was the only way." Was outing her the right thing to do? What about others driven by loneliness or mental illness of some sort, like time-travelers or such? ;D
#4
1. Anti-vaccination kooks. Vaccines work by obtaining immunity in a preponderance of the population. Yes, it may very well be that you've never been vaccinated and never gotten sick (the claim of all the un-vaccinated), but that's because everyone else around you has been vaccinated. That said, supervision and care must be exercised over vaccine preparation, but still, tetanus, mumps, polio, measles, small pox, etc., suck in a big way.

2. End-Times Madness. How many millennial predictions have failed? Why, thousands (Ha!)! Jesus, the Mahdi, Elvis, sundry messiahs - they're all just another Once and Future King. I know that your millennial movement is different. This time, it's the real deal. Yah, sure.

3. Abiotic Oil. A few molecules of abiotic oil may have been generated somewhere, in all of the chemical reactions in the universe, but abiotic oil is in even shorter supply than that generated from biotic material, with or without dinosaurs.

4. Psychics. Who needs them? When it comes to the future, you're going to find out, anyway. Who needs remote viewing when everybody's got a webcam and a video on YouTube? Satellite surveillance can peek inside your bathroom window and read the brand of toilet paper you use. Beat that, Ed or Louis or the Twins or Carnac the Magnificent.
#5
Archive of Old Threads / What's on the Creator's Ipod?
August 03, 2011, 08:49:22 PM
Because I'm drunk, I've been introducing my many children to the music of my dope-smokin', hippy parents as well as the greats of my generation (for you haters of 80's music, there were a few sneaky brilliances). You haven't lived until you've seen your children boogie to this:

The Jimi Hendrix Experience-All Along The Watchtower

Dire Straits - Sultans Of Swing (Alchemy Live)
#6
My nominees:

1) Tropic of Night by Michael Gruber - This novel actually changed the way I think about the nature of reality. Ostensibly, it's a mystery which involves an African witch doctor, but the writing is amazing.

2) All the Bells on Earth by James Blaylock - A funny tale about a man who discovers the Bluebird of Happiness. Features every trope of noir film and the plays on words are hilarious.
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